Daily Real Estate News | Thursday, January 26, 2012

List prices are heating up in Florida, as recovery takes hold in the Sunshine State. Florida boasts the highest number of cities in the top 10 for largest increases in median list prices in the last year. In Miami alone, median list prices have jumped 32 percent in the last year.

Nationwide, median list prices have inched up 5.03 percent from December 2010 to December 2011, according to Realtor.com data.

The following cities are where median list prices have increased the most in the last year, based on December 2011 data of 146 metro areas from Realtor.com:

1. Miami, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 32.50%
Median list price: $265,000

2. Naples, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 21.67%
Median list price: $365,000

3. Fort Myers-Cape Coral, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 21.47%
Median list price: $229,375

4. Punta Gorda, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 19.42%
Median list price: $179,000

5. Boise City, Idaho
Year-over-year increase: 19.25%
Median list price: $154,900

6. West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 18.38%
Median list price: $219,000

7. Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 17.62%
Median list price: $241,000

8. Daytona Beach, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 16.06%
Median list price: $179,900

9. Phoenix-Mesa, Ariz.
Year-over-year increase: 13.79%
Median list price: $165,000

10. Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, Mich.
Year-over-year increase: 13.32%
Median list price: $137,000

By Chris Isidore @CNNMoney January 20, 2012: 10:26 AM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — Home sales ended a difficult year on a high note, resulting in a gain in full-year sales volume.

The National Association of Realtors reported that the annual sales pace in December reached 4.6 million homes, up 5% from November’s pace and 3.6% from a year ago.

It was the third straight month of improvement in the pace of sales. The improved fourth-quarter sales volume lifted full-year sales to 4.26 million homes, up 1.7% from 2010 levels.

“The pattern of home sales in recent months demonstrates a market in recovery,” said Lawrence Yun, the group’s chief economist. “Record low mortgage interest rates, job growth and bargain home prices are giving more consumers the confidence they need to enter the market.”

Home prices, however, remained depressed, largely because distressed sales continue to make up a significant part of the market.

The median price was $164,500 in December, down 2.5% from a year ago. For the full year, the median price of $166,100 was off 3.9% from 2010 levels. To top of page

Chase CEO and Fannie Mae economist see improvement in 2012. But another analyst says recovery is still a long way away.

By Teresa at MSN Real Estate Tue 10:35 AM

“We have seen the worst. We are at the bottom. We may hug along the bottom for a while, but we are at the bottom,” Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, told Maria Bartiromo in a Q&A published in USA Today.

That doesn’t mean that happy days are here again, he cautions, but there is light at the end of the tunnel.

“Supply and demand are rapidly coming in balance,” he said. “Renting is now more expensive than buying in half of America. We’re adding 3 million Americans a year … 2 million jobs, and all this shadow-inventory stuff will be getting better, not worse. And it’s the rate of change which is important, not the absolute level.”

He added: “It’s still terrible, by the way. But we think it’s going to get better over time.”

Fannie Mae chief economist Doug Duncan agrees with Dimon that housing is ready to start adding a small boost to the economy.

Modest housing recovery predicted in 2012

“With an expected improvement in housing activity in 2012, residential investment should start contributing to growth, albeit only modestly initially,” Duncan and Orawin Velz, a director in Fannie Mae’s economics and mortgage-market analysis group, wrote in a Fannie Mae forecast released last week. The two predicted that home sales would rise 3.5% in 2012 and that housing starts would rise 16%.

Bankers: Home prices won’t recover before 2020

But Lance Roberts of Street Talk, in a post titled “Anything other than the Apocalypse is a win,” predicts we won’t see a housing recovery this year and probably not for a long time. He writes:
Despite rumors to the contrary, real estate will continue to struggle not only in 2012 but well beyond. The bursting of the real-estate/mortgage? bubble is not something that is solved in the course of a couple of years – especially in a case where the excesses took two decades to accumulate.

We are always looking to benefit more financially from Real Estate. We also
Need to realize that the whole intent is for us to be more financially better off.
We need to look at all aspects of our expenses and be savier when it comes
to what we are spending our funds on. In so doing we discussed today insight on
spending less on typical types of insurance so that we can have better coverage with
less costs in premiums.

Home Insurance Insight:

Look at our dwelling coverage amounts for our home and potential rental properties.
The $ amount should not equal the value of what the property could be sold for. It should
Be a lower amount that equals the true cost to rebuild the structure of the property.

-Determine the true cost to rebuild the home by comparisons from agents.
-If the insurance company will write the policy for less than we are 100% covered.
-If the dwelling coverage is for 80% or more of the true replacement cost then the insurance company will pay for 100% of the replacement costs.

Auto Insurance Insight:

We want to have the right coverage without over paying for insurance premiums.

-Generally most people can have coverage of 1000 per person and 30000 per accident for
bodily injury insurance.
-Look to have a higher deductible like 1000 if you carry collision and comprehensive insurance. This will lower your premiums.
-Consider dropping collision and comprehensive insurance when the value of the car drops to $3000-$4000 dollar range. At that point the insurance company is more likely to total the car then repair it anyway.

Small Business Insurance:

When claiming a home business and having either clientele in the home or when storing inventory we should acquire small business insurance through a reputable agent.

-Put your business under business structure and have ample insurance so that if someone claimed a liability suit you would have ample protection.
-If you didn’t have business insurance and your inventory for your business was the cause of a fire, you home owners insurance would not cover the loss.

Summary:
Get educated on the right coverage’s to have for all types of insurance. This will help us not only personally but in our real estate investing as well. This can help us to be more liquid and give us to make more in our real estate investment opportunities.

By Morgan Brennan, Forbes.com

January 10, 2012

Has the U.S. housing market hit a bottom? Do we have further to go? When will a recovery start? These are the questions every homeowner and real estate investor are currently asking themselves — or should be.

Wall Street firms have optimistically been betting that the bottom’s here. Research firms like Zelman & Associates predict the sector will pick up this year and hedge funds have been jumping into real estate-related investments from brick-and-mortar building purchases to shares of home builders stocks. In December Goldman Sachs Group released a report stating that “The home price bottom [is] in sight,” according to my colleague Agustino Fontevecchia.

Cities Where Home Prices are Falling Dangerously

Indeed, national home price data indicates that the worst of the catastrophic home price implosion is behind us. Clear Capital, a Truckee, Calif.-based real estate research firm, reports that 2011 saw a national decrease of 2.1% in home prices when compared with 2010. While still a loss, it’s a measly drop compared to the double-digit plunges felt in the years before. For 2012, the firm’s Home Data Index (HDI) Market Report also predicts a humble 0.2% gain across all markets. “Overall, 2011 was a relatively quiet year for U.S. home prices compared to the last five years,” said Dr. Alex Villacorta, Clear Capital’s director of research and analytics, in the report. He further notes that “the current balance the market has found will continue through 2012.”

A 6.4% price drop is expected for hard-hit Las Vegas.

What does all of this mean? Housing from a national standpoint is flattening out; the macro level data suggests we could possibly be at the bottom or near it.

A Tuesday report from Zillow, a publicly listed Seattle, Wash.-based real estate data and listing site, shows that November home values “remained essentially flat” from October of 2011 through November, falling only 0.1%. The Zillow Real Estate Market Report, which analyzes home values in 165 metro areas, notes that the addition of 200,000 jobs in December, improving consumer confidence and stronger retail sales indicate that home sales may be more consistent and more frequent in 2012. “With stronger home sales, we’ll see a reduction in the amount of vacant housing inventory and an improved ability to absorb foreclosed homes. This increased demand will eventually start to put a floor under home values later this year,” the report says.

It sounds rather promising, doesn’t it? For Wall Street firms snapping up stocks and/or using the market as an indicator for economic activity, it is. For homeowners, however, a different story prevails.

If you are a prospective home buyer or seller wondering if now is the time to make a play, the decision should come down to something much more tangible than a “flat” national market number. It should come down to location.

Clear Capital warns that the relatively flat national average is composed of metro markets that have been anything but: “Individual markets reacting to their local economic conditions continued to exhibit a wide range of performance levels in 2011, with only 12 of the top 50 metro markets (24%), returning year-over-year price movement that can be considered stable,” the HDI report cautions. Stable price movement means price swings of less than 2.5%. The company believes only 40% of the country’s largest metro areas will be stable in 2012. Among them: Denver, Colo., San Jose, Calif., Boston, Mass., Oklahoma City, Okla., and San Francisco, Calif.

Bakersfield is expected to rebound with an 11.1% increase.

As for the areas where prices may actually appreciate the most this year, the firm expects Orlando, Fla. home prices to rise 11.7%, hard-hit Bakersfield, Calif. 11.1%, government jobs-driven Washington, D.C. 9.3%, foreclosure-riddled Phoenix, Ariz. 8.9%, and sales-heavy Miami, Fla. 8.8%.

Markets that will experience further price drops this year include Atlanta, Ga. (14.4% anticipated loss), Los Angeles, Calif. (10.3% anticipated loss), Seattle, Wash. (7.5% anticipated loss), Oxnard, Calif. (6.7% anticipated loss), and foreclosure capital Las Vegas, Nev. (6.4% anticipated loss).

Zillow’s November data shows price fluctuations from metro area to metro area, as well. It clocks 66 markets where home values depreciated in November, 66 markets where values rose and 33 where values simply remained flat. Zillow’s economists caution that elevated foreclosure rates and negative equity will continue to impact local markets in 2012, meaning still lower values yet to come in some markets. For that reason, the company doesn’t expect a true stabilization in home values to occur until the end of this year or early 2013.

I think they are right. Even if the worst of the price depreciation hemorrhage is over, we still face a wave of distressed inventory undergoing the tedious foreclosure process and an estimated shadow inventory of 1.6 million bank-owned or distressed homes that have not yet hit the sale block, according to CoreLogic. It will mean millions of discounted units flooding markets already saturated with more units than buyers, dragging overall home prices down in terms of both listing prices and property appraisals.

So whether a bottom in housing is here or not depends on the local market. Most foreclosure-riddled markets will likely have years to go before values meaningfully move upwards. Markets where employment is plodding back and/or where overbuilding didn’t occur in the mid-2000s will and are showing more promising, more stable prices. ”It will be very important for consumers to draw a distinction between the end of sustained home values declines, which are maybe a year away, and the return to normal market conditions with historically normal appreciation rates,” Zillow notes.

By Les Christie @CNNMoney January 12, 2012: 8:18 AM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — Foreclosure filings and repossessions fell to their lowest level since 2007 last year.

Total filings, including default notices and bank repossessions were down 33% for the year to 2.7 million, according to RealtyTrac, the online marketer of foreclosed properties.

One in every 69 homes had at least one foreclosure filing during the year, while 804,000 homes were repossessed. That’s a significant improvement from the peaks reached in 2010 — when 1.05 million homes were repossessed — and the lowest levels seen since 2007.

More than 4 million homes have been lost to foreclosure over the past five years.

While the declines seem like good news for the housing market, where a flood of foreclosed homes has depressed home prices, much of it is due to processing delays caused by fall-out from the “robo-signing” scandal that broke in late 2010.

During the year, banks spent more time making sure paperwork was legal and proper, creating a backlog in the foreclosure pipeline. As a result, the average time it took to process a foreclosure climbed to 348 days during the fourth quarter, up from 305 days a year earlier.

“Foreclosures were in full delay mode in 2011, resulting in a dramatic drop in foreclosure activity for the year,” said Brandon Moore, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac.

However, Moore said there were “strong signs” during the second half of the year that lenders are working through foreclosure backlogs in certain markets. He expects foreclosure activity to rise above 2011’s level but remain below the peak hit in 2010.

Low rates offer some help for homeowners

Early in 2011, many forecasters were predicting a wave of foreclosures due to resetting adjustable-rate mortgages, but low mortgage rates helped many borrowers refinance into more affordable loans, said Moore.

The government helped as well, through efforts like the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP), which made refinancing easier for borrowers who owe more on their mortgage than their homes are worth.
Turning foreclosures into rentals

Government foreclosure prevention programs, including HARP and the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), have started about 5.5 million mortgage modifications since April 2009, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

“Programs like HAMP and HARP have definitely made a dent in the foreclosure problem,” said Moore “However, they are certainly not living up to their billing of preventing several million foreclosures. In addition, many [HAMP] homeowners fall back into foreclosure later on.”

Of course, there were still plenty of factors working against homeowners in 2011, including the continued erosion in home prices. Falling prices rob homeowners of home equity, which they can tap if they need emergency cash.

Foreclosure hot spots

Hot spots for foreclosures remain mostly in “bubble states,” where speculative investors helped drive up home prices beyond their fundamental values during the mid-2000s housing boom.

Nevada, where one out of every 16 households received some kind of default notice during the year, was the worst hit of all, a distinction it has held for the fifth consecutive year.
Foreclosure free ride: 3 years, no payments

Arizona had the second highest foreclosure rate and California came in third. Florida, which had been running neck-and-neck with the other “Sand States” in past years, fell to seventh, behind Georgia, Utah and Michigan.

Among metro areas, Las Vegas suffered from the highest foreclosure rate in 2011. California put seven cities in the top 10, led by Stockton in the second slot. Other cities in the top 10 included Phoenix, which finished sixth, and Reno, Nev. was eighth. To top of page
Find homes for sale

First Published: January 12, 2012: 4:59 AM ET